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A white and purple sea anemone floats attached to the rocky sea floor with a turquoise ocean filled with streaming seaweed in the background.

Northern Shelf Bioregion Climate Change Assessment

A white and purple sea anemone floats attached to the rocky sea floor with a turquoise ocean filled with streaming seaweed in the background.
Northern Shelf Bioregion Climate Change Assessment

Mapping: MaPP Regional and Sub-Regional Projections and Sectoral Impacts

  • Mapping: MaPP Regional and Sub-Regional Projections and Sectoral Impacts

    Mapping: MaPP Regional and Sub-Regional Projections and Sectoral Impacts

    Map

    MaPP Region: Communities

    Map

    MaPP Region: Marine Infrastructure

    Map

    MaPP Region: Marine Infrastructure

    Map

    MaPP Region: Marine Infrastructure

    Map

    MaPP Region: Fisheries Infrastructure

    Map

    MaPP Region: Communities

    Map

    MaPP Region: Communities

    Map

    MaPP Region: Fisheries Infrastructure

    Map

    MaPP Regions: Fisheries Infrastructure

    Map

    MaPP Region: Marine Infrastructure

    Map

    MaPP Regions: Marine Infrastructure

    Map

    NE Pacific: Precipitation Flux 1961-1990 v. 2091-2100

    Map

    NE Pacific: Precipitation Flux 1961-1990 v. 2091-2100: High Emissions Scenario

    Map

    NE Pacific: Precipitation Flux Projections

    Map

    NE Pacific: Precipitation Flux Projections

    Map

    MaPP Region Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map

    MaPP Region Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map

    MaPP Region Sea Level Change Projections

    Map

    MaPP Region Sea Level Change Projections

    Map

    MaPP North Vancouver Island: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map

    MaPP North Vancouver Island: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map

    MaPP Central Coast: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map

    MaPP Central Coast: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map

    MaPP North Coast: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map

    MaPP North Coast: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map

    MaPP Haida Gwaii: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map

    MaPP Haida Gwaii: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map

    MaPP Region: Sea Surface Temperature 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    MaPP North Vancouver Island: Sea Surface Temperature 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    MaPP Central Coast: Sea Surface Temperature 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    MaPP North Coast: Sea Surface Temperature 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    MaPP Haida Gwaii: Sea Surface Temperature 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    NE Pacific: Sea Surface Temperature Flux Projections

    Map

    NE Pacific: Sea Surface Temperature Flux Projections

    Map

    NE Pacific: Sea Surface Temperature Flux 1961-1990 vs. 2091-2100

    Map

    NE Pacific: Surface pH Flux Projections

    Map

    NE Pacific: Sea Surface Temperature Flux 1961-1990 vs. 2091-2100

    Map

    NE Pacific: Surface pH Flux Projections

    Map

    NE Pacific: Surface pH 1961-1990 vs. 2091-2100

    Map

    NE Pacific: Surface pH 1961-1990 vs. 2091-2100

    Map

    MaPP Region: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    MaPP Region: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    MaPP North Vancouver Island: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    MaPP North Vancouver Island: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    MaPP Central Coast: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    MaPP Central Coast: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    MaPP North Coast: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    MaPP North Coast: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    MaPP Haida Gwaii: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    MaPP Haida Gwaii: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map

    MaPP Region: Shoreline Sensitivity to Sea Level Rise

    Map

    MaPP North Vancouver Island: Shoreline Sensitivity to Sea Level Rise

    Map

    MaPP Central Coast: Shoreline Sensitivity to Sea Level Rise.

    Map

    MaPP North Coast: Shoreline Sensitivity to Sea Level Rise

    Map

    MaPP Haida Gwaii: Shoreline Sensitivity to Sea Level Rise

    Map

    MaPP Region: Archaeological Sites Highly Sensitive to Sea Level Rise

    Map

    MaPP North Vancouver Island: Archaeological Sites Highly Sensitive to Sea Level Rise

    Map

    MaPP Central Coast: Archaeological Sites Highly Sensitive to Sea Level Rise

    Map

    MaPP North Coast: Archaeological Sites Highly Sensitive to Sea Level Rise

    Map

    MaPP Haida Gwaii: Archaeological Sites Highly Sensitive to Sea Level Rise

    Map

  • MaPP Region: Communities

    Map-1

  • MaPP Region: Marine Infrastructure

    Map-2

  • MaPP Region: Marine Infrastructure

    Map-3

  • MaPP Region: Marine Infrastructure

    Map-4

  • MaPP Region: Fisheries Infrastructure

    Map-5

  • MaPP Region: Communities

    Map-6

  • MaPP Region: Communities

    Map-7

  • MaPP Region: Fisheries Infrastructure

    Map-8

  • MaPP Regions: Fisheries Infrastructure

    Map-9

  • MaPP Region: Marine Infrastructure

    Map-10

  • MaPP Regions: Marine Infrastructure

    Map-11

  • NE Pacific: Precipitation Flux 1961-1990 v. 2091-2100

    Map-12

  • NE Pacific: Precipitation Flux 1961-1990 v. 2091-2100: High Emissions Scenario

    Map-13

  • NE Pacific: Precipitation Flux Projections

    Map-14

  • NE Pacific: Precipitation Flux Projections

    Map-15

  • MaPP Region Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map-16

  • MaPP Region Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map-17

  • MaPP Region Sea Level Change Projections

    Map-18

  • MaPP Region Sea Level Change Projections

    Map-19

  • MaPP North Vancouver Island: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map-20

  • MaPP North Vancouver Island: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map-21

  • MaPP Central Coast: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map-22

  • MaPP Central Coast: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map-23

  • MaPP North Coast: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map-24

  • MaPP North Coast: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map-25

  • MaPP Haida Gwaii: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map-26

  • MaPP Haida Gwaii: Sea Level Anomaly 2100

    Map-27

  • MaPP Region: Sea Surface Temperature 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-28

  • MaPP North Vancouver Island: Sea Surface Temperature 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-29

  • MaPP Central Coast: Sea Surface Temperature 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-30

  • MaPP North Coast: Sea Surface Temperature 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-31

  • MaPP Haida Gwaii: Sea Surface Temperature 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-35

  • NE Pacific: Sea Surface Temperature Flux Projections

    Map-36

  • NE Pacific: Sea Surface Temperature Flux Projections

    Map-37

  • NE Pacific: Sea Surface Temperature Flux 1961-1990 vs. 2091-2100

    Map-38

  • NE Pacific: Surface pH Flux Projections

    Map-39

  • NE Pacific: Sea Surface Temperature Flux 1961-1990 vs. 2091-2100

    Map-40

  • NE Pacific: Surface pH Flux Projections

    Map-41

  • NE Pacific: Surface pH 1961-1990 vs. 2091-2100

    Map-42

  • NE Pacific: Surface pH 1961-1990 vs. 2091-2100

    Map-43

  • MaPP Region: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-44

  • MaPP Region: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-46

  • MaPP North Vancouver Island: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-46-1

  • MaPP North Vancouver Island: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-47

  • MaPP Central Coast: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-48

  • MaPP Central Coast: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-49

  • MaPP North Coast: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-50

  • MaPP North Coast: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-51

  • MaPP Haida Gwaii: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-52

  • MaPP Haida Gwaii: Sea Surface Salinity 1995-2008 vs. 2065-2078

    Map-53

  • MaPP Region: Shoreline Sensitivity to Sea Level Rise

    Map-54

  • MaPP North Vancouver Island: Shoreline Sensitivity to Sea Level Rise

    Map-55

  • MaPP Central Coast: Shoreline Sensitivity to Sea Level Rise.

    Map-56

  • MaPP North Coast: Shoreline Sensitivity to Sea Level Rise

    Map-57

  • MaPP Haida Gwaii: Shoreline Sensitivity to Sea Level Rise

    Map-58

  • MaPP Region: Archaeological Sites Highly Sensitive to Sea Level Rise

    Map-59

  • MaPP North Vancouver Island: Archaeological Sites Highly Sensitive to Sea Level Rise

    Map-60

  • MaPP Central Coast: Archaeological Sites Highly Sensitive to Sea Level Rise

    Map-61

  • MaPP North Coast: Archaeological Sites Highly Sensitive to Sea Level Rise

    Map-62

  • MaPP Haida Gwaii: Archaeological Sites Highly Sensitive to Sea Level Rise

    Map-63

  • Executive Summary
    • Acknowledgements
  • Terminology
    • Acronym Definitions
    • Important Terminology
    • Glossary
  • Introduction
    • Limitations
    • Climate Change Threats
    • The Marine Plan Partnership for the North Pacific Coast
    • Social-Ecological Context and Management: BC and the Northern Shelf Bioregion
  • Methodology
    • Spatial Data Sources
    • Existing Climate Change Assessments
  • Global and Regional Climate Change Trends
  • Observed Climate Change Trends in British Columbia
    • Air Temperature
    • Precipitation
    • Sea Level Rise
    • Sea surface temperature
    • Ocean acidification
    • Ocean deoxygenation
    • Sea surface salinity
    • Observed Climate Associated Impacts
  • Regional Climate Change Projections
    • Air Temperature
    • Precipitation
    • Sea Level Rise
    • Sea Surface Temperature
    • Ocean Acidification
    • Ocean Deoxygenation
    • Sea Surface Salinity
    • Extreme Weather Events
  • Estimated Regional Impacts associated with Climate Change Projections
    • Ecosystems
    • Fisheries and Aquaculture
    • Human Communities
    • Marine Infrastructure
  • Sub-regional Projections and Impacts
    • North Vancouver Island
    • Central Coast
    • North Coast
    • Haida Gwaii
  • Knowledge Gaps and Some Ongoing Research
    • Uncertainty in Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerabilities, and Risk
    • Lack of Regionally Downscaled Projections and Vulnerability Assessments
    • Ocean Acidification and Ocean Chemistry
    • Ongoing and/or Recommended Research
    • Extreme Weather, Storm Surge, and Sea Level Rise
    • Other Uncertainties: Invasive Species, Disease Pathways
  • Moving Forward: Adaptation
    • Current adaptation policies and recommendations for adaptation
    • Sector level adaptation: Ecosystems, Fisheries and Aquaculture
    • Sector Level Adaptation: Human Communities
    • Sector Level Adaptation: Marine Infrastructure
  • Recommendations
  • Conclusions
  • Tables: Predicted Climate Change Impacts Across Region and Sub-Regions
    • MaPP Region – Summary Table for Climate Impacts, Projected Changes and Sectoral Impacts
    • North Vancouver Island – Summary Table for Climate Impacts, Projected Changes and Sectoral Impacts
    • Central Coast – Summary Table for Climate Impacts, Projected Changes and Sectoral Impacts
    • North Coast – Summary Table for Climate Impacts, Projected Changes and Sectoral Impacts
    • Haida Gwaii – Summary Table for Climate Impacts, Projected Changes and Sectoral Impacts
  • References
  • Appendices
    • Some Climate Change Projections and Impacts on Fisheries and Aquaculture within Coastal BC
    • General Adaptation Actions for Climate Impacts and Sectors
  • Mapping: MaPP Regional and Sub-Regional Projections and Sectoral Impacts

Written by Charlotte K. Whitney and Tugce Conger

Whitney, Charlotte, and Tugce Conger. 2019. “Northern Shelf Bioregion Climate Change Assessment: Projected Climate Changes, Sectoral Impacts, and Recommendations for Adaptation Strategies Across the Canadian North Pacific Coast.”

https://doi.org/10.31230/osf.io/rfnk3

Written by Charlotte K. Whitney, Tugce Conger, Natalie C. Ban, and Romney McPhie

Charlotte K. Whitney, Tugce Conger, Natalie C. Ban, Romney McPhie, and Steven J. Cooke. Synthesizing and communicating climate change impacts to inform coastal adaptation planning. FACETS. 5(1): 704-737. https://doi.org/10.1139/facets-2019-0027

https://doi.org/10.1139/facets-2019-0027

© 2025 Northern Shelf Bioregion Climate Change Assessment
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  • Executive Summary
    • Acknowledgements
  • Terminology
    • Acronym Definitions
    • Important Terminology
    • Glossary
  • Introduction
    • Limitations
    • Climate Change Threats
    • The Marine Plan Partnership for the North Pacific Coast
    • Social-Ecological Context and Management: BC and the Northern Shelf Bioregion
  • Methodology
    • Spatial Data Sources
    • Existing Climate Change Assessments
  • Global and Regional Climate Change Trends
  • Observed Climate Change Trends in British Columbia
    • Air Temperature
    • Precipitation
    • Sea Level Rise
    • Sea surface temperature
    • Ocean acidification
    • Ocean deoxygenation
    • Sea surface salinity
    • Observed Climate Associated Impacts
  • Regional Climate Change Projections
    • Air Temperature
    • Precipitation
    • Sea Level Rise
    • Sea Surface Temperature
    • Ocean Acidification
    • Ocean Deoxygenation
    • Sea Surface Salinity
    • Extreme Weather Events
  • Estimated Regional Impacts associated with Climate Change Projections
    • Ecosystems
    • Fisheries and Aquaculture
    • Human Communities
    • Marine Infrastructure
  • Sub-regional Projections and Impacts
    • North Vancouver Island
    • Central Coast
    • North Coast
    • Haida Gwaii
  • Knowledge Gaps and Some Ongoing Research
    • Uncertainty in Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerabilities, and Risk
    • Lack of Regionally Downscaled Projections and Vulnerability Assessments
    • Ocean Acidification and Ocean Chemistry
    • Ongoing and/or Recommended Research
    • Extreme Weather, Storm Surge, and Sea Level Rise
    • Other Uncertainties: Invasive Species, Disease Pathways
  • Moving Forward: Adaptation
    • Current adaptation policies and recommendations for adaptation
    • Sector level adaptation: Ecosystems, Fisheries and Aquaculture
    • Sector Level Adaptation: Human Communities
    • Sector Level Adaptation: Marine Infrastructure
  • Recommendations
  • Conclusions
  • Tables: Predicted Climate Change Impacts Across Region and Sub-Regions
    • MaPP Region – Summary Table for Climate Impacts, Projected Changes and Sectoral Impacts
    • North Vancouver Island – Summary Table for Climate Impacts, Projected Changes and Sectoral Impacts
    • Central Coast – Summary Table for Climate Impacts, Projected Changes and Sectoral Impacts
    • North Coast – Summary Table for Climate Impacts, Projected Changes and Sectoral Impacts
    • Haida Gwaii – Summary Table for Climate Impacts, Projected Changes and Sectoral Impacts
  • References
  • Appendices
    • Some Climate Change Projections and Impacts on Fisheries and Aquaculture within Coastal BC
    • General Adaptation Actions for Climate Impacts and Sectors
  • Mapping: MaPP Regional and Sub-Regional Projections and Sectoral Impacts
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